MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (NAMTHEUN) WARNING NR 019 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 15W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z --- NEAR 34.0N 130.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.0N 130.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 36.5N 132.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 40.1N 136.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z POSITION NEAR 34.6N 131.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (NAMTHEUN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 64 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DISPERSED AND WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS UNRAVELED AS IT DRAGGED ACROSS NORTHERN KYUSHU AND OFF THE COAST INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AND HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT. THE INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 15W HAS MOVED INTO VERY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (GREATER THAN 30 KNOTS) AND COLD SSTS (LESS THAN 25C) AND IS EXPECTED TO TOTALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 8 FEET.// NNNN NNNN