Tropical Storm JULIA Advisory vr, 16-09

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TROPICAL STORM JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
0300 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

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FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA