Tropical Storm FERNANDA Advisory ma, 17-07

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0300 UTC MON JUL 17 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 130W       34 56   8(64)   1(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
15N 130W       50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 135W       34  1   4( 5)  35(40)  22(62)   4(66)   X(66)   X(66)
15N 135W       50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  14(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  11(17)   1(18)   X(18)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   7(14)   1(15)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  13(19)   1(20)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH