Tropical Storm LESTER Advisory za, 27-08

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
0300 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLA CLARION   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 115W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 120W       34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

20N 120W       34  2  21(23)   9(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
20N 120W       50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  35(41)  10(51)   X(51)   X(51)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   1(15)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  45(46)   9(55)   X(55)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   5(22)   X(22)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   3(17)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  38(40)   5(45)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   2(16)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  20(28)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA