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Tropical Storm EIGHT Advisory zo, 28-08

17:00
23:00
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   X(10)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   X(11)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)   2(13)   X(13)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   8(13)   1(14)   X(14)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   8(16)   1(17)   X(17)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  10(21)  11(32)   1(33)   X(33)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   6(18)   1(19)   X(19)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   9(17)   7(24)   X(24)   X(24)
NEW RIVER NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   7(14)   7(21)   X(21)   X(21)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
FORECASTER BRENNAN