Tropical Storm MATTHEW Advisory vr, 30-09
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0300 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PT GALLINAS 34 4 30(34) 11(45) 4(49) 3(52) 1(53) X(53)
PT GALLINAS 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
PT GALLINAS 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CURACAO 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 19(28)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 21(39)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 22(36)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 14(30)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 11(32)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12)
CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 30(45) 9(54)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 6(23)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 20(35) 4(39)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 2(17)
MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 28(33) 23(56) 3(59)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 15(26) 2(28)
KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14)
LES CAYES 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 25(36) 14(50) 4(54)
LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 2(19)
LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 12(21) 10(31) 3(34)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE BEATA 34 5 5(10) 3(13) 3(16) 8(24) 5(29) 1(30)
CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 3(14)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) 3(13) X(13)
PONCE PR 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AGUADILLA PR 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA
Baan v/d storm vr, 30-09
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