Tropical Storm SAM Advisory za, 25-09

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE SAM WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182021
0300 UTC SAT SEP 25 2021

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SAM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS
...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

SABA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
SABA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
SABA           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

ST EUSTATIUS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
ST EUSTATIUS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
ST EUSTATIUS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG